Broadband infrastructure in US predicted to reach maximum capacity by 2010

Category: News

A new study from Nemertes Research has predicted that the broadband infrastructure in the United States will reach maximum capacity by 2010 and that the system will collapse because of this overload.The study said that the situation would come about unless there was a 60 to 70 percent increase in the investment in broadband infrastructure. While the dynamic nature of the Internet will prevent a total breakdown, users will most likely experience “internet brownouts,” which are defined as periods of low connectivity speeds.Such a situation will definitely hurt innovation on the Internet, the study said, adding that another Google or YouTube may not explode over the web because of this lack of reliability of connection speeds.

“One could even whimsically speculate that the lack of investment could be holding back the time at which the internet reaches a ‘singularity’ (a point at which accelerating change creates an unpredictable outcome, such as the internet becoming independently sentient),” the study pointed out.

The study, titled, “The Internet Singularity, Delayed: Why Limits in Internet Capacity Will Stifle Innovation on the Web,” added that corporate and personal demand for Internet connectivity is expected to grow exponentially during the next two years.

“We estimate the financial investment required by access providers to bridge the gap between demand and capacity ranges from $42 billion to $55 billion, or roughly 60%-70% more than service providers currently plan to invest,” the report pointed out.

(source: EARTHtimes.org)

I gotta admit it’s pretty fookin lame that the U.S. remains in the ‘dark ages’ regarding broadband. Every person I communicate with in Europe is connected on a 10Mbit line. And very unlike the United States, those connections are symetrical, meaning that whatever their download speed is, the upload is the same. I know of corporations here that don’t have a 10Mbit line. …and some kid in Sweden is paying $40/month for 100Mbit.  Crazy. Makes us (Americans) seem kinda outdated, huh?

The best bet here is probably FiOs.

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2 comments

2 Comments so far

  1. Daniel December 5th, 2007 11:58 am

    I couldn’t understand some parts of this article Broadband infrastructure in US predicted to reach maximum capacity by 2010, but I guess I just need to check some more resources regarding this, because it sounds interesting.

  2. zOnk.oNe December 5th, 2007 5:35 pm

    Basically…the United States and it’s mega-telecomunication corporations haven’t prepared for the future. Instead of spending money on preperation, they’ve pocketed huge profits. In a lot of Europe, companies spent huge amounts of money laying fiber-obtic cables instead of saving money and using soon-to-be-outdated analog coaxial cables.

    :)

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